The perfect ocean for drought.
نویسندگان
چکیده
The 1998-2002 droughts spanning the United States, southern Europe, and Southwest Asia were linked through a common oceanic influence. Cold sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the eastern tropical Pacific and warm SSTs in the western tropical Pacific and Indian oceans were remarkably persistent during this period. Climate models show that the climate signals forced separately by these regions acted synergistically, each contributing to widespread mid-latitude drying: an ideal scenario for spatially expansive, synchronized drought. The warmth of the Indian and west Pacific oceans was unprecedented and consistent with greenhouse gas forcing. Some implications are drawn for future drought.
منابع مشابه
The Turn of the Century North American Drought: Global Context, Dynamics, and Past Analogs*
The causes and global context of the North American drought between 1998 and 2004 are examined using atmospheric reanalyses and ensembles of atmosphere model simulations variously forced by global SSTs or tropical Pacific SSTs alone. The drought divides into two distinct time intervals. Between 1998 and 2002 it coincided with a persistent La Niña–like state in the tropical Pacific, a cool tropi...
متن کاملتاثیر تغییر اقلیم بر شدت و دوره بازگشت خشکسالی های ایران
Due to the growth of industries and factories, deforestation and other environmental degradation as well as greenhouse gases have been increasing on the Earth's surface in recent decades. This increase disturbs the climate of the Earth and is called climate change. An Increase in greenhouse gases in the future could exacerbate the climate change phenomenon and have several negative consequences...
متن کاملپیشبینی وضعیت خشکسالیهای استان زنجان طی دورهی 2050 – 2011 با استفاده از خروجی مدل ریزمقیاسنمایی آماری (LARS-WG)
According to studies and research of Hadley Climate Prediction Center, in the 21st century, pervasive and severe drought, will be threatened the lives of millions of people around the world because of global warming. Forasmuch as the drought affects different sectors of society, therefore, monitoring and evaluation of this phenomenon in the future to proper planning is essential. To this end, t...
متن کاملTropical climate influences on drought variability over Java, Indonesia
[1] We investigate relationships between Indonesian drought, the state of the equatorial Indian Ocean, and ENSO using three instrumental indices spanning 1884– 1997 A.D.: 1. EQWIN, a zonal wind index for the equatorial Indian Ocean; 2. the Dipole Mode Index (DMI), an indicator of the Indian Ocean SST gradient; and 3. tropical Pacific Niño-3.4 SSTs. A regression model of the Java Sep–Dec Palmer ...
متن کاملLinks between Indo-Pacific climate variability and drought in the Monsoon Asia Drought Atlas
Drought patterns across monsoon and temperate Asia over the period 1877–2005 are linked to IndoPacific climate variability associated with the El NiñoSouthern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). Using the Monsoon Asia Drought Atlas (MADA) composed of a high-resolution network of hydroclimatically sensitive tree-ring records with a focus on the June– August months, spatial drou...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Science
دوره 299 5607 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2003